The paper analyses the impact of the tariff war between US and China on India’s trade with SAARC nations by using the vector auto regression (VAR) model and the Granger Causality Test, using time series data from 2009 to 2018. The results indicate that the economic impact of tariff war is insignificant on India’s trade with all SAARC nations other than Bhutan. We observe that however insignificant impact might be, there exists a positive impact on all bilateral trades of India with SAARC economies.
Mentor:
Dr. Ravi Kant
Display Order No:
-19
Keyword:
SAARC Nations, Vector auto regression, Granger Causality, Time series data, positive impact
Stride:
4692
Stride Article PDF: